Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.67
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $5.11K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Polymarket Trader
kroko
0xf8ccc51356ad11e3d884f4beeaca81bb08fe028a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.3
- Realized PnL
- $6.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $13.33
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $3.17K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $891.05
- Potential profit
- $884.37
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $852.67
- Potential profit
- $852.67
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $833.27
- Potential profit
- $824.52
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $775.23
- Potential profit
- $773.29
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $609.03
- Potential profit
- $606.9
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $549
- Potential profit
- $549
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $643.9
Yes position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $403.77
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $387.44
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $382.05
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $333.06
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $329.56
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.89
Yes position
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $298.19
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $292.3
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $288.77
Yes position
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $286.81
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $270.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $270.21
Yes position
Will Canada win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $235.78
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.88
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $215.12
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $198.52
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.48
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.11
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195.14
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $188.63
Yes position
Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $182.63
Yes position
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $181.35
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?Yes 1.7% 109 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?Yes 1.5% 150 shares
- Will Drake’s ice sculpture contain the album’s release date?No 1.1% 95.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Yes 0.8% 750 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?Yes 0.7% 143 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?Yes 0.4% 600 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Yes 0.5% 201 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?Yes 0.4% 269 shares
- Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.1% 13 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 6% 74.07 shares
- Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 0.6% 50 shares