Polymarket Trader

0xF8D1c5774958547717BDaC77B8144017B79f51C7-1775125436435

0xf8d1c5774958547717bdac77b8144017b79f51c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $548.48
Realized PnL: $261.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $125.08
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$64.92

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.98K
User PnL: -$79.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$205.89

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $43.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$55.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $59.12
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $529.12
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$40.88

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $208.48
Potential payout: $584.8
Potential profit: $376.32
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $108.48

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $76
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $324
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$176

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $264
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.84
Potential profit: $195.84
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.83
Potential profit: $133.83
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.4
Potential profit: $120.4
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $19.61
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.85

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 526.32 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 6,250 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 937.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 584.79 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 1,981.25 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.2% 919.54 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 919.54 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 6,250 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.4% 1,063.83 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 1,169.59 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares