Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $68.38
- Potential payout
- $75.56
- Potential profit
- $7.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Polymarket Trader
Quillthorn
0xf8db6dd527dc73d355805a3802a9d7401b41e46e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.38
- Realized PnL
- $30.32
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.62
- Potential profit
- $28.62
- User PnL
- -$10.3
BIG position
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Knicks position
Trail Blazers vs. Knicks
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 75.56 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?No 64% 75 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99% 51.22 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No 97.6% 51.23 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.1% 27.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 27.08 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 98.4% 25.72 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 97.2% 25.72 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 26.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 95% 26.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 26.91 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.9% 26.91 shares