.Bux

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.81
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.76
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.03
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 65.1%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $1.55
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.36
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET