Polymarket Trader

Sandor

0xf8fb43a0f2e8ffc29408261a0fee4c7648fe19dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.32
Realized PnL: $31.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51M
Potential profit: $1.51M
User PnL: -$1.51K

Yes position

Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.95K
Potential profit: $223.95K
User PnL: -$842.05

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.02K
Potential profit: $216.02K
User PnL: -$1.93K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.8K
Potential profit: $202.8K
User PnL: -$1.17K

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.67K
Potential profit: $118.67K
User PnL: -$399.9

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.69K
Potential profit: $110.69K
User PnL: -$393.72

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.29K
Potential profit: $60.29K
User PnL: -$198.71

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54K
Potential profit: $54K
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.43K
Potential profit: $40.43K
User PnL: -$628.21

Yes position

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $14.32
Potential payout: $28.64K
Potential profit: $28.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.32

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27K
Potential profit: $27K
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.01K
Potential profit: $19.01K
User PnL: -$703.23

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19K
Potential profit: $19K
User PnL: -$323

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18K
Potential profit: $18K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.4K
Potential profit: $11.4K
User PnL: -$68.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.21K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76K

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

No position

Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?

Ends Jul 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

No position

Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $642.7

No position

Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.42

Yes position

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $456.36

Yes position

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.26

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.26

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Trans" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.64

No position

Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $375.32

No position

Will Trump say "border" 25 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.69

No position

Will Trump say "Dark MAGA" during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.76

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19?

Ends Oct 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.01

Yes position

Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $159.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.94

No position

Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24?

Ends Oct 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.2% 6,500 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Yes 24.1% 8,206.31 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 7.3% 1,647.49 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 17% 278.57 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 0.4% 19,421.82 shares
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 0.1% 27,640 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

No 6.8% 7,390.61 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 1.7% 5,882.35 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 1.7% 5,882.35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 28% 278.57 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 4.7% 2,135.96 shares