Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $387.43
- Potential payout
- $3.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $90.72
Polymarket Trader
a1a1
0xf90b6a07e67fa5f3f3dbccab61782bcf395dcb6c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $20.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $668.8
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $427.6
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$252.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27K
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
No position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $963.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $853
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $718.06
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.78
No position
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $360.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.5
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $326.07
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.74
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $285.71
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.98
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.61
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $185.58
No position
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.32
No position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.9
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.1
No position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $85.38
No position
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.74
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.3
Yes position
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 78% 2,818.82 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 34% 1,734.31 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 66.6% 34.83 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 65.7% 873.97 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 68.2% 2,261.39 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 71.2% 223.6 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?No 73.1% 321.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 73% 1,250 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 64.6% 168.05 shares
- US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 75% 5,000 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 54% 5 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 54% 22 shares