Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 10AM ET
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
=nvhwuhv
0xf915d85811f2f6c68d47beb6c1264baa9ad749fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.68
- Realized PnL
- $41.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $13.7
- Potential payout
- $15.05
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $12.87
- Potential payout
- $13.47
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $10.12
- Potential payout
- $10.24
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $9.21
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.34
- Potential profit
- $5.34
- User PnL
- -$3.9
No position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11AM ET
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12PM ET
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will JLP (Jamaica Labour Party) win the most seats in the 2025 Jamaica House of Representatives election?
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No 93% 15.05 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 96.5% 13.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 98% 15.31 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.7% 10.24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 97.4% 10.27 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 91% 10.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 95.8% 10.44 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 76% 9.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 11.58 shares