No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.9%
- Current value
- $629.05
- Potential payout
- $970
- Potential profit
- $340.96
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$142.11
Polymarket Trader
laicaiciai4016
0xf917d809c08d853f2464bc3ca6cce319913431d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $629.05
- Realized PnL
- -$231.82
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.51
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.6
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$307.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 41% 634.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 73% 238 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 73% 289.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 72% 59.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 72% 82.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 71% 423.17 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes 99.8% 1,000 shares