Polymarket Trader

C4RL05

0xf91fc198023be3a9dd856d01e52b724f7fcf6ca2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $191.12
Realized PnL: $2.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.33
Potential profit: $316.33
User PnL: -$113.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.92
Potential profit: $198.92
User PnL: -$72.3

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $66.47
Potential payout: $174.93
Potential profit: $108.45
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$31.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.1
Potential profit: $107.1
User PnL: -$99.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.45
Potential profit: $81.45
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$9.68

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $50.34
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.94
Potential profit: $65.94
User PnL: -$52.83

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $49.89
Potential payout: $63.16
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $1.89

Up position

XRP Up or Down on August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.65
Potential profit: $44.65
User PnL: -$20.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on September 28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.19
Potential profit: $32.19
User PnL: -$11.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$19.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.16
Potential profit: $19.16
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.66
Potential profit: $14.66
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.33
Potential profit: $14.33
User PnL: -$6.49

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.88
Potential profit: $12.88
User PnL: -$8

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.32
Potential profit: $12.32
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $11.87
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.85
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.64
Potential profit: $7.64
User PnL: -$4

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.58

No position

Will TikTok be banned again before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.06

No position

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.54

No position

TikTok sale announced before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.3

No position

Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.71

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.82

No position

Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.09

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.71

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.4

Yes position

Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.43

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.46

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.46

Yes position

Trump cuts Ukraine aid before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.8

Knicks position

Celtics vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

No position

Will Apple launch a MacBook on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Down 3% 33.33 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 71% 8.45 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 75% 20.28 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 76% 14.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 76% 18.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 32% 3.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 50% 2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 48% 2.08 shares