Polymarket Trader

User8788

0xf920f4bcdf8bada013b2f8d99ec4701c9072665f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.28K
Realized PnL: -$2.77K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.76K
Potential profit: $764.76K
User PnL: -$7.79K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $338.78K
Potential profit: $338.78K
User PnL: -$2.35K

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250K
Potential profit: $250K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $200K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150K
Potential profit: $150K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.03K
Potential profit: $55.03K
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.9K
Potential profit: $38.9K
User PnL: -$489.99

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.28K
Potential payout: $11.72K
Potential profit: $9.43K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $5.13K
User PnL: -$600

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
User PnL: -$46.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87K
Potential profit: $3.87K
User PnL: -$1.97K

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$500

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$1.82K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$46.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $265.26
Potential profit: $265.26
User PnL: -$19.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.15
Potential profit: $245.15
User PnL: -$95.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.8
Potential profit: $112.8
User PnL: -$25.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $539.35

Yes position

Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$443.62

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$925.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 7.5% 11,715.29 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 0.5% 200,000 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 82% 2,219.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Down 23% 112.8 shares
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?

Yes 31.8% 314.17 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 50,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

No 0.2% 150,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Down 1% 4,643.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Down 35% 136.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Up 2.6% 1,808.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Up 47% 324.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Up 29.3% 324.19 shares