Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $23.58
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Polymarket Trader
0xf92Ac09C9f7ADB0A98dADa9d72Fd50A22545708D-1773123366385
0xf92ac09c9f7adb0a98dada9d72fd50a22545708d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.94
- Realized PnL
- $109.19
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $14.78
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $7.89
- Potential payout
- $14.75
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $11.19
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $11.14
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.71
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $7.72
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $7.05
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $6.89
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $6.31
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lu Dort be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
No position
Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.17
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.72
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.16
No position
Will SOFR hit 3.76% (High) between March 1 and March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
No position
Will "Palantir" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
X Money released by April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Will Russia enter Svitle by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
No position
Will the Rolex Index hit $11,750 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Trump post "Department of Defense" or "DoD" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.9% 6.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29.8% 7.05 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 76% 6.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 37% 7 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of July 6 2026?No 76% 11.14 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No 45.4% 7.72 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 58% 11.19 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 40% 8.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 63% 12.7 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.5% 666.67 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 49% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?No 50% 15.3 shares