Polymarket Trader

benrzy

0xf937abc0d2372fb00008dc8c92b020ea397c6ce6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $219.96
Realized PnL: $157.1
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $372.92
Potential profit: $372.92
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $16.69
Potential payout: $306.19
Potential profit: $289.5
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$13.31

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $93.34
Potential payout: $279.87
Potential profit: $186.53
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $23.34

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Current value: $18.21
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $170.47
Multiplier: 10.36x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $18.1
Potential payout: $180.08
Potential profit: $161.98
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.94
Potential profit: $84.94
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $41.54
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $11.54

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $32.09
Potential payout: $34.88
Potential profit: $2.79
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $25.63
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.64
Potential profit: $13.64
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.94

Yes position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 28.2% 177.3 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?

Yes 86% 34.88 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Yes 72% 41.67 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.5% 102.56 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 68.97 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 188.68 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.4% 156.25 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 206.19 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 96.5% 203.95 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Yes 22% 203.95 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 17% 178.03 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares