Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $12.76K
- Potential profit
- $11.04K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.46K
Polymarket Trader
j6548465
0xf945d3bf43b879a59cab32e49378f1f738af4fd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $275.93
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $683
- Potential profit
- $683
- User PnL
- -$245.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.35
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.11
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$21.43
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$461.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 4,570 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 90 shares
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 357.14 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 1,990 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 31% 300 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.8% 10 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.7% 1,500 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.6% 181.76 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.5% 16.62 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.3% 975.03 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 30.2% 55 shares