osvan303

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240
Potential profit: $240
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.67
Potential profit: $176.67
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $129.8
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.68
Potential profit: $84.68
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $11.62
Potential payout: $82.74
Potential profit: $71.11
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $2.62

No position

Prince Andrew released by February 19?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $56.67
Potential profit: $54.49
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$8.82

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.43
Potential profit: $51.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $38.37
Potential payout: $49.19
Potential profit: $10.82
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $6.89

No position

Will Coinbase say "Institution" or "Institutional" during earnings call?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $35.28
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $34.94
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Coinbase say "SEC" or "Securities and Exchange Commission" during earnings call?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Coinbase say "Subscription" during earnings call?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $17.17
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.9

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.41

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.62

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.49

Yes position

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET