Polymarket Trader

wac45

0xf94f7f79cb53320d75dd720d2074843f0a56ffc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $124.18
Realized PnL: $326.51
Win rate: 70.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.48K
Potential profit: $3.48K
User PnL: -$3.48

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $542.04
Potential profit: $542.04
User PnL: -$6.04

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.89
Potential profit: $324.89
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $24.92
Potential payout: $265.08
Potential profit: $240.16
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $264.93
Potential profit: $261.23
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $89.33
Potential payout: $207.74
Potential profit: $118.41
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $17.87

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.15
Potential profit: $180.15
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.99
Potential profit: $85.99
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

No position

Starmer out by August 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.26
Potential profit: $50.26
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $37.29
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $41.14
Potential profit: $39.29
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.5
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.5
Potential profit: $26.5
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.66

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $90.65

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.82

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $3.34

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 13% 25 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 33% 62 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 11.8% 27.02 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 66.85 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 35% 60 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Yes 35% 85.74 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 200 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 35% 10 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 10.1% 58.19 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 170.43 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Yes 8.8% 33.91 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Yes 29% 16.85 shares