Polymarket Trader

0xf953fC31C42D22539155b2F4468faBD8e6438D1F-1768639534066

0xf953fc31c42d22539155b2f4468fabd8e6438d1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.6
Realized PnL: $6.33
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $535.71
Potential profit: $535.71
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.33
Potential profit: $311.33
User PnL: -$4.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.41
Potential profit: $175.41
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.5
Potential profit: $146.5
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $106.17
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $14.58
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $68.75
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $9.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $12.64
Potential payout: $37.73
Potential profit: $25.09
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 10.64x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.49
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 37.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 13.3% 146.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 86.2% 23.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.5% 52.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 36% 6.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares