Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $156.13
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.68K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$293.87
Polymarket Trader
Gr-2
@Vovantwitt
0xf95deb630c30d9bf5e9152b5fb1f886c04290b23
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $262.15
- Realized PnL
- $425.96
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.45
- Potential profit
- $177.45
- User PnL
- -$45.2
No position
Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $95.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $10.88
- Potential payout
- $59.6
- Potential profit
- $48.72
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- -$8.14
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.66
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.33
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.54
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.43
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.73
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 153.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26.6% 1,082.95 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 76% 100 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 68% 281.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 53.2% 281.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11?Yes 45% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 50 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84% 190 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes 66% 78.05 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8?Yes 22% 11.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 625 shares