Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.84K
- Potential profit
- $303.84K
- User PnL
- -$88.86K
Polymarket Trader
0xfd81
0xf9696b41270ef8bb58f361ec5cb36273ed59431b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- $47.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$6.55K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21K
- Potential profit
- $11.21K
- User PnL
- -$3.25K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.39K
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $62.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.8K
No position
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31K
No position
Pavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Yes position
Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
No position
Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47K
No position
GPT-5 released in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Hyperliquid exploit before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.11
No position
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $741.67
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $616.83
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.45
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.24
Yes position
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.42
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.86
No position
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $403.79
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,250 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380
No position
Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.27
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.21
No position
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.78
Yes position
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.75
Yes position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $135.32
No position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 29.5% 2,185.51 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 31.9% 2,401.07 shares
- Fed rate cut by September meeting?No 32.6% 11,573.59 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 29% 4,260 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 28% 1,509.58 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 28% 15,000 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 27% 629.04 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 27% 4,202.9 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 26% 382.71 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 26% 2,054.35 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 26% 349 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes 25% 5,903.52 shares