Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $20.3
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Polymarket Trader
Simmens
@Simmens7419
0xf96c62e27fdd8ff8a959bed8c38fcaeac4219014
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $106.31
- Realized PnL
- $2.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $25.4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $974.6
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $0.8
N
No position
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $14.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $35.25
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
N
No position
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 65% 60 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 68% 50 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 1,400 shares
- Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes 68% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 63% 99.99 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 28.4% 50 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 34.5% 100.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?No 51.4% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?No 50% 25 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 51% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?No 24% 25 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No 16% 50 shares