Polymarket Trader

0xf96f03ba1d71026856050D3B6a92Ad9A13aa1f5C-1768251706052

0xf96f03ba1d71026856050d3b6a92ad9a13aa1f5c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.16K
Realized PnL: $2.66K
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $90
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.91K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $738.48
Potential payout: $5.47K
Potential profit: $4.73K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$581.5

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $296.1
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $963.89
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $251.77
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $775.87
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$128.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $270.55
Potential payout: $721.47
Potential profit: $450.92
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $70.55

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$35.7

Gauff position

Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$289

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567.05
Potential profit: $567.05
User PnL: -$298.25

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $197.88
Potential payout: $434.89
Potential profit: $237.02
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.12

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$255.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312
Potential profit: $312
User PnL: -$200

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $214.72
Potential payout: $273.53
Potential profit: $58.81
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $28.72

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.59
Potential profit: $258.59
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.19
Potential profit: $199.19
User PnL: -$28.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.17
Potential profit: $148.17
User PnL: -$50.38

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $105.28
Potential payout: $106.61
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.26

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.73
Potential profit: $104.73
User PnL: -$49.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.51
Potential profit: $98.51
User PnL: -$56.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.44
Potential profit: $98.44
User PnL: -$49.22

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.02
Potential profit: $97.02
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $54.17
User PnL: -$23.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.22
Potential profit: $49.22
User PnL: -$24.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.73

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Tesla reach $495 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Tesla reach $465 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Austria position

Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 15.3% 981.28 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Austria 50% 400 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Yes 46% 434.89 shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic 68% 273.53 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

No 23.8% 1,259.99 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Yes 27.7% 721.47 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 18.5% 1,352.61 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 22% 1,136.36 shares
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 38.7% 258.59 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 64.1% 312 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 9?

No 5% 155 shares