Polymarket Trader

Porcupine23

0xf98ec622248bf369af04a7c60c0e8521566e797f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $584.69
Realized PnL: $34.33K
Win rate: 95%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.86K
Potential profit: $22.86K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.74K
Potential profit: $19.74K
User PnL: -$10K

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.67K
User PnL: -$3K

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $584.69
Potential payout: $610
Potential profit: $25.32
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $291.88

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$258.5

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $470
Potential profit: $470
User PnL: -$432.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$98

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$98.99

Yes position

Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.26
Potential profit: $143.26
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.5
Potential profit: $101.5
User PnL: -$71.05

Down position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

Up position

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$45.5

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.5

Up position

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32

Up position

Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66K

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.37

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.51

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.45

No position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.8

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Up position

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Down position

Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Up position

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22

Up position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Up position

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Perry position

MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6% 399.99 shares
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry

Perry 64.9% 50 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?

Yes 50% 393.33 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?

Yes 51% 393.34 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?

Down 92% 443.05 shares
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?

Yes 55.7% 348.86 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

No 98.8% 90 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 6?

Yes 53% 11.11 shares
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 6?

Up 92% 12.5 shares
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 6?

Down 51% 50 shares
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?

Up 70% 53.04 shares
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?

Up 70% 50 shares