Polymarket Trader

Degenerate-Dude

0xf9939a1e54baa08e4f4d8549f1050f1ee7f6cd9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.76K
Realized PnL: $42.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.9K
Potential profit: $28.9K
User PnL: -$169.5

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $62.65
Potential payout: $10.44K
Potential profit: $10.38K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$45.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.07K
Potential profit: $4.07K
User PnL: -$384.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $966
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $34
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $905
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $948.15
Potential payout: $999.63
Potential profit: $51.48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $41.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $495
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$79.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$460

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.38
Potential profit: $289.38
User PnL: -$206.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90.9%
Current value: $181.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $197.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.7K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65K

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.07

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $733.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.24

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $502.47

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $466.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.42

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 93% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 93.8% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 94% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 93.3% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 95% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 95% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 95% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 95% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 95.6% 368.54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95.7% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 90.8% 259 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 90.7% 740.63 shares