No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $124.09
- Potential payout
- $272.73
- Potential profit
- $148.64
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Polymarket Trader
Grimduck
0xf99f2732f7970f45c48693056850eb46bec6bb72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.09
- Realized PnL
- $110.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.53
- Potential profit
- $96.53
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.36
- Potential profit
- $8.36
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.95
- Potential profit
- $7.95
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $6.61
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $33.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 44% 272.73 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 99.8% 123.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 123.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 46.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 31.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 96.3% 23.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 38% 46.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 63% 31.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 84% 23.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 98.1% 58.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 73% 58.78 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 90% 6.33 shares