Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $64.95
- Potential payout
- $115.98
- Potential profit
- $51.03
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Polymarket Trader
aladefi
0xf9a4ac211693270f86542af51646704f7742ef46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.95
- Realized PnL
- $12.01
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.13x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 56% 18.87 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 64.1% 134.85 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 98.2% 28.4 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 69.3% 28.4 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 99.9% 19.69 shares
- Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes 96% 19.67 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.8% 5.24 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 25% 29.02 shares
- Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No 35% 29.03 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 95.4% 5.24 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.3% 60.97 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 8.2% 60.98 shares