Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$13
Polymarket Trader
vozomnil
0xf9b0e9186f3abe292a2519b555938f542c70a817
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.45
N
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $597.37
- Potential payout
- $674.99
- Potential profit
- $77.62
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $56.38
N
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $140.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $143.77
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.12
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $37.83
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Y
Yes position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $10.56
- Potential payout
- $34.06
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $6.13
N
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
No position
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.49
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.96
Yes position
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.48
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.72
Yes position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.34
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.27
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.05
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.13
No position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
No position
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.18
Yes position
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.08
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.35
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.74
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.87
No position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 4.1% 200 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 30% 26.6 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 30% 23.4 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.2% 1,950 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 0.1% 1,262 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 86% 50 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 97% 64.68 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 2% 2.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 111.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 200 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 5% 89.41 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?Yes 0.2% 227.42 shares