siick

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $61.87K
Potential profit: $60.47K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $711.46

No position

Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.35K
Potential profit: $38.35K
User PnL: -$5.58K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $23.38K
Potential profit: $21.72K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $653.91

No position

US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.86K
Potential profit: $22.86K
User PnL: -$972.83

Yes position

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $170
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.83K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $488.9
Potential payout: $17.15K
Potential profit: $16.67K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$151.56

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.27K
Potential profit: $16.27K
User PnL: -$2.4K

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $12.76K
Potential payout: $14.83K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.31K
Potential profit: $14.31K
User PnL: -$1.98K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.71K
Potential profit: $13.71K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.12K
Potential profit: $13.12K
User PnL: -$858.43

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 33.2%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $11.76K
Potential profit: $7.86K
Multiplier: 3.02x
User PnL: -$212.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$121.2

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$160

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3.35K

Yes position

Will Trump deport less than 250,000?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.42K
Potential profit: $9.42K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $9.23K
User PnL: -$196.82

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $114.14
Potential payout: $8.78K
Potential profit: $8.67K
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.97K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.5K
User PnL: -$243.99

No position

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $6.82K
Potential payout: $8.42K
Potential profit: $1.6K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.06K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $56.71
Potential payout: $8.1K
Potential profit: $8.05K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$779.37

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.8K
Potential profit: $7.8K
User PnL: -$786.36

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $5.53K
Potential payout: $7.42K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $551.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32K

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.27K

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72K

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.62K

Green position

UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37K

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

US position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?