No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.7
Polymarket Trader
0xF9Bee78f443EeCB791F011c76E123d8F7fdDC838-1778303332947
0xf9bee78f443eecb791f011c76e123d8f7fddc838
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.29K
- Realized PnL
- $122.38
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $521.25
- Potential payout
- $695
- Potential profit
- $173.75
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $69.98
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $380.03
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $50.63
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $287.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $12.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.35
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $59.85
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $10.15
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $27.47
- Potential payout
- $68.68
- Potential profit
- $41.21
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.22
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 73% 600 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 12, 2026?No 95% 220 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 77.6% 90 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 42% 23.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 1,400 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.5% 300 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 74% 5 shares