No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $639.12
- Potential payout
- $639.44
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $0.32
Polymarket Trader
LILDURK
0xf9bf37d7120e17a716d1fc9805ef52b9758f129f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.49K
- Realized PnL
- $1.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $318.9
- Potential payout
- $322.94
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $307.58
- Potential profit
- $307.58
- User PnL
- -$243.76
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.47
- Potential profit
- $222.47
- User PnL
- -$218
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $40.42
- Potential payout
- $204.68
- Potential profit
- $164.25
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.94
- Potential profit
- $198.94
- User PnL
- -$134.85
No position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177.88
- Potential profit
- $177.88
- User PnL
- -$24.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $151.82
- Potential payout
- $162.37
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.82
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $159.99
- User PnL
- -$28.8
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.96
- Potential profit
- $150.96
- User PnL
- -$140
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.39
- Potential profit
- $149.39
- User PnL
- -$113
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $103.83
- Potential payout
- $144.2
- Potential profit
- $40.38
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $135.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $133.34
- Potential payout
- $133.87
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.04
- Potential profit
- $126.04
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $103.2
- Potential payout
- $103.66
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.14
- Potential profit
- $91.14
- User PnL
- -$72
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.37
- Potential profit
- $85.37
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.63
- Potential profit
- $84.63
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.66
- Potential profit
- $57.66
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.83
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.77
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.77
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
No position
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.74
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.41
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.31
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.54
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.71
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.29
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.07
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.59
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.61
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.46
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.72
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.7% 322.94 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 639.44 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 87% 57.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?No 95.5% 103.66 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 68.7% 144.2 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 90% 127.78 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 182.54 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 98.6% 133.87 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.3% 162.37 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 204.68 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 99.8% 118.24 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 85.37 shares