Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $17.05K
- Potential payout
- $111.83K
- Potential profit
- $94.77K
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $6.48K
Polymarket Trader
SOLE214
0xf9d535772359fc53979a44b98bd69f5a82ebfba3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.11K
- Realized PnL
- $14.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $36.24
- Potential payout
- $823.63
- Potential profit
- $787.39
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$28.11
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $16.87
- Potential payout
- $124.97
- Potential profit
- $108.1
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.87
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Yes position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $58.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $55.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.62
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.85
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.77
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $16.41
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $10.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 5,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.7% 3,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 10,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 5,000 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.6% 3,999.99 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.7% 3,999.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 10,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 13% 14,500 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 13.4 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 15 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 1,300 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 3% 1,197.99 shares