No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $135.29
- Potential payout
- $213.06
- Potential profit
- $77.77
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $5.29
Polymarket Trader
cool001
0xf9e5b0ec023614964c7d54458a79d0c03298b4bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.29
- Realized PnL
- $978.2
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $418.94
Yes position
Trump executive order curbing FEMA before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.5
No position
Will Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be less than $500m on Feb 21?
Ends Feb 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Dogecoin above $0.40 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Solana above $215 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.89
No position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.5
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.95
Yes position
Ripple above $2.15 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.36
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Yes position
Solana above $185 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Yes position
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Mystery drones shot down in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
No position
Will Solana dip to $150 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will Solana hit $300 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 61% 213.06 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 54% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.2% 47.61 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 65.6% 760.89 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.5% 760.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 26% 200 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No 5% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 52% 5.41 shares
- Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?Yes 70% 50 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 86.7% 128.19 shares
- Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?Yes 44% 39.99 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 58% 58.82 shares