Polymarket Trader

WDNMDMagiclink

0xf9e78814e473cca4abf9ce501bdeb4c34db645d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.94
Realized PnL: -$18.32
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $51.98
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $7.64
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $46.37
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$12.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $44.55
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $13.15
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $40.85
Multiplier: 4.11x
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$4.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$13.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $16.22
Potential payout: $51.5
Potential profit: $35.28
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $43.54
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 43% 4.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 21% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 54 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 63% 46.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 51.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 28.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 5.8% 27.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 22.57 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 4.5% 32.1 shares