No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $650.13
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $565.07
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Polymarket Trader
0xf9ea...7b04
0xf9ea4ce30e4e0e2db5b8152ea7004b24e5507b04
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.3K
- Realized PnL
- $541.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $340.14
- Potential payout
- $482.47
- Potential profit
- $142.33
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $28.78
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.4%
- Current value
- $21.71
- Potential payout
- $175.81
- Potential profit
- $154.1
- Multiplier
- 8.10x
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $151
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $150.18
- Potential profit
- $140.04
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $6.88
- Potential payout
- $136.23
- Potential profit
- $129.35
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.85
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.32
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.77
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $80.38
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $75.96
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $61.48
- Potential profit
- $52.72
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $31.38
- Potential payout
- $58.65
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $50.28
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $53.61
- Potential profit
- $50.58
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $33.53
- Potential payout
- $45.93
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $8.02
- Potential payout
- $39.13
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $27.92
- Potential payout
- $39.05
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.54
Over position
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $24.63
- Potential payout
- $36.76
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.51
- Potential payout
- $36.51
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.95
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.1%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $36.18
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $34.08
- Potential payout
- $34.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.52
Over position
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $24.84
- Potential payout
- $31.65
- Potential profit
- $6.8
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.38
Yes position
Will Bangladesh win?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.41
Over position
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.51
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.28
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.87
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.55
Over position
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Over position
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Over position
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
No position
Will the match end in a draw?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
Over position
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Yes position
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
K27 position
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23?Down 69% 7.25 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 23?Down 80% 6.25 shares
- Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over 68% 36.76 shares
- Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5Over 79% 31.65 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown 98% 5.09 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown 51% 5.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 23?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?Yes 69.1% 36.18 shares
- Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5Over 83% 30.39 shares
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over 70% 36.51 shares
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over 75% 34.08 shares
- Norway vs. Senegal: Norway O/U 0.5Over 79% 31.65 shares