Polymarket Trader

extractive-manatee

@ferrellcode

0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.71K
Realized PnL: $62.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $315
Potential payout: $630K
Potential profit: $629.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$315

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $881.54
Potential payout: $251.87K
Potential profit: $250.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $125.93

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $199.9K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $199.7K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $836.75
Potential payout: $185.94K
Potential profit: $185.11K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $10.78

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $99.95K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $348.27
Potential payout: $99.51K
Potential profit: $99.16K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $105.77

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $89.94K
Potential profit: $87.46K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $390
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $59.61K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$147.78

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $76.5
Potential payout: $51K
Potential profit: $50.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$94.81

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $780.4
Potential payout: $50.35K
Potential profit: $49.57K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $251.69

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $425
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.57K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $18.94
Potential payout: $37.88K
Potential profit: $37.86K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$56.82

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.86K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$84.75

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $193.78
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.31K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $1.88K
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $6.12K
Multiplier: 4.25x
User PnL: -$470.92

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $6.71K
Potential payout: $7.04K
Potential profit: $334.47
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $744.81

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.92K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$690

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$118.3

No position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.25K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $426

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.24

Yes position

Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69K

Yes position

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34K

No position

Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1K

No position

Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09K

No position

Will TPG (TPG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

No position

Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Pacers position

Bucks vs. Pacers

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

No position

Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

No position

Will Carvana (CVNA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?

Ends Apr 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

No position

Will Oatly Group (OTLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

No position

Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

No position

Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Cloud Rising 9% 300.56 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 1,000 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 34% 300 shares
Will Dave & Buster's (PLAY) beat quarterly earnings?

No 88% 25 shares
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?

No 86% 400 shares
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 100,000 shares
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 500,000 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 81% 69.99 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

No 75.6% 70 shares
Kash Patel out by June 30?

No 91% 223.25 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 22.3% 100 shares
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Yes 19.4% 989.88 shares