Skabr

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $48.79
Potential payout: $336.47
Potential profit: $287.68
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$5.11

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $267.9
Potential profit: $267.23
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $240.78
Potential profit: $240.3
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$22.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $148.75
Potential profit: $147.49
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $2.46
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $80.88
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $68.85
Potential profit: $64.9
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $35.14
Potential profit: $34.14
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?

Ends May 9, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $17.36
Potential profit: $12.42
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $3.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $15.7
Potential profit: $10.1
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $1.99

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $7.56
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.73

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $5.87
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.41
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.92

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $79.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.63

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $30.44

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?