Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Polymarket Trader
0x694833E1f40d361F816AE9aAACa9394BAafA63a0-1772621976700
0xfa03c8b604470a4f5e036a1c5e30db7fc50045e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $353.38
- Realized PnL
- $1.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $701
- Potential profit
- $701
- User PnL
- -$40.55
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.18
- Potential profit
- $376.18
- User PnL
- -$336.13
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $227
- Potential payout
- $227
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $27.24
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $175
- User PnL
- -$139.66
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149
- Potential profit
- $149
- User PnL
- -$53.75
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $71.86
- Potential payout
- $139.53
- Potential profit
- $67.67
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$7.67
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.01
- Potential profit
- $66.01
- User PnL
- -$49.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.75
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- User PnL
- -$49.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.17
- Potential profit
- $59.17
- User PnL
- -$49.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.43
- Potential profit
- $48.43
- User PnL
- -$39.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.34
- Potential profit
- $47.34
- User PnL
- -$39.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.24
- Potential profit
- $47.24
- User PnL
- -$36.44
Under position
Modena FC 2018 vs. Calcio Padova: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Under position
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $39.43
- Potential profit
- $33.91
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.79
- Potential profit
- $38.79
- User PnL
- -$28.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.08
- Potential profit
- $38.08
- User PnL
- -$29.51
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.41
- Potential profit
- $37.41
- User PnL
- -$9.81
No position
Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.99
- Potential profit
- $36.99
- User PnL
- -$17.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.73
- Potential profit
- $32.73
- User PnL
- -$24.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.41
Yes position
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.71
Under position
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.9
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.75
Yes position
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.99
Under position
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.59
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.9
Under position
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Hannover 96: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.04
Under position
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.7
Under position
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.35
Under position
Holstein Kiel vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.3
Over position
Como 1907 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.05
Over position
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.72
Under position
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.63
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Under position
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.24
Under position
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Over position
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.49
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.8
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.49
Over position
Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.96
No position
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETUp 87.6% 28.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETUp 73% 20.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown 79% 18.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp 90.8% 26.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp 91% 27.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown 80% 30.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown 80.4% 30.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 84% 29.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown 83% 29.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp 83% 5.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp 82% 30.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp 81% 30.44 shares