Polymarket Trader

adminst

0xfa19800bfa69f9fdfe5e37daf3535fd6f0303b1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.61
Realized PnL: $87.8
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $59.61
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $977.15
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$43.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.56

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Tria FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes 96% 109.99 shares
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Yes 86.4% 109.99 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on March 10?

No 98.6% 30.83 shares
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 90.4% 40 shares
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 95% 311.06 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 99.2% 296.39 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 9% 19.84 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 99% 228.7 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 99.1% 228.7 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 99% 228.93 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 99.1% 228.93 shares
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Yes 99% 229.16 shares