Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $245.71
- Potential profit
- $238.71
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0xfa21...6204
0xfa21aee73f6ab7caee9a260534c9d5c41b006204
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.52
- Realized PnL
- -$23.1
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $173.13
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $18.58
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $104.88
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $33.21
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $12.98
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $11.91
- Potential payout
- $14.18
- Potential profit
- $2.27
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $8.84
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.89
- Potential profit
- $7.89
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.9%
- Current value
- $2.99
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$28.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.8% 178.57 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 67% 4.48 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?Yes 38% 7.89 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 4.1% 245.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown 34% 83.09 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 34% 43.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 55% 26.05 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 10.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETUp 51% 17.43 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 70.5% 14.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETUp 23% 57.98 shares