No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $120.69
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $28.74
Polymarket Trader
zubr
0xfa22bcefc000bc46ff7e6a1ed1a4f5e3344069a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $242.43
- Potential payout
- $256.54
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.43
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $203.45
- Potential payout
- $229.89
- Potential profit
- $26.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $3.45
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $101.67
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $54.41
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $36.74
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $369.86
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.77
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.77
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.91
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.03
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.67
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.73
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.91
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.26
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.21
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.26
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.91
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.34
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.76
No position
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.34
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.73
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 87% 229.89 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 66% 57.01 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 87% 1,149.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 87.7% 57.02 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 75.5% 39.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?No 84% 27.38 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 64% 46.89 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 93.9% 99.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 155.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 55% 54.55 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 40.9% 73.26 shares