N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
kevkas2
0xfa38fd987e3710afdd5db1788132b3cf3d2b5493
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.77
- Realized PnL
- -$28.51
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $898.18
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $822.08
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $774.06
- Potential profit
- $774.06
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.49
- Potential profit
- $147.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $133.57
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $23.98
- Potential profit
- $14.28
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.16
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $10.26
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
EU dissolves before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 41.7% 23.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 1.2% 833.33 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.4% 2,500 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 1.9% 1,077.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 3.4% 147.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.9% 763.31 shares
- EU dissolves before 2027?No 96.7% 10.34 shares
- Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No 94% 10.64 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 78% 12.82 shares