Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19.95
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $190.05
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.65
Polymarket Trader
0xFA39Dc56189a5e09dfCe16eFe8541B77423C1F40-1764085587194
0xfa39dc56189a5e09dfce16efe8541b77423c1f40
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.86
- Realized PnL
- -$155.96
- Win rate
- 17.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $11.52
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $180.48
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$15.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $39.93
- Potential profit
- $32.54
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $3.39
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.98
- Potential profit
- $29.98
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.28
Raiders position
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Saints position
Saints vs. Falcons
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Cowboys position
Cowboys vs. Giants
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.98
No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.12
Under position
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Bears position
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.2
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64
Colts position
Colts vs. Texans
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$71.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown 1% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp 14% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 0.7% 430 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.7% 140 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 16% 110 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 79% 31.94 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 12% 208 shares
- Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No 51.2% 40 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7.4% 54.23 shares
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7% 71.43 shares
- Will Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No 41% 10 shares