Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $2.39K
- Potential payout
- $48.27K
- Potential profit
- $45.88K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $458.76
Polymarket Trader
xasd-440
0xfa3b4d18b821ff075d9290fea82434b3ae106900
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.39K
- Realized PnL
- -$2K
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will Kanye name his token Jew?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump resign today?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 550k+ BTC before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb Mar 11-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.36
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.24
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.95
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32.64
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$34.65
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4% 48,270.72 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 23,174.51 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 9,409.57 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 8,209.39 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 5,555.56 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 10,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 5,586.64 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 3,153.73 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 3,847.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 12% 4,150 shares
- Will Trump resign today?Yes 0.4% 437.5 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes 7% 25 shares