Polymarket Trader

OrnnZhang

0xfa67423cd1e370e58e772732ba350015533975ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.59
Realized PnL: $106.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $59.91
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $27.92
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $22.92
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $1.38
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.27

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.26

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 82.1% 20 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 99.9% 45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

No 98.1% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 98% 27.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

No 35.4% 16.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

No 72.5% 16.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 42% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?

No 91% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 28?

No 47% 19.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 28?

No 97% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 28?

No 98.8% 50 shares