Polymarket Trader

ddd141

0xfa686b1486c0622c54164d86b1d6f784d0bbba5d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $875.74
Realized PnL: $6.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $229.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $770.5
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $119.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $205.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $794.5
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: $104.5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $942.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$28.8

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $111.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $888.5
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$47.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $102.48
Potential payout: $999.77
Potential profit: $897.29
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$26.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $48.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $38.02
Potential payout: $44.99
Potential profit: $6.97
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.58
Potential payout: $42.6
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $11.95

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Factset Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $3.59
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $945.35

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $799.2

Yes position

Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $628.84

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.35

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.3

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $197.77

No position

Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

No position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.63

No position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $134.29

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

No position

Ethereum above $3,000 on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.8

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.55

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

Yes position

Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.01

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.01

Yes position

Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.9

Yes position

Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.18

Yes position

Will Canada strike Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.2

Yes position

Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.71

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $97.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 29% 100 shares
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

Washington Mystics 30% 100 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5

Over 7% 51 shares
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky

Las Vegas Aces 73% 90 shares
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

Washington Mystics 72% 100 shares
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5

Under 49% 100 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5

Over 51% 20 shares
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5

Over 53% 68.75 shares
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 174.5

Under 65% 5.18 shares
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo

Toronto Tempo 36% 100 shares
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 46% 100 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 39% 199.95 shares