Polymarket Trader

maxwerywell

0xfa6f09d36a46e4a48cce7fd6ed8a17a41ad47e67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $529.97
Realized PnL: $1.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $481.56
Potential payout: $520.6
Potential profit: $39.05
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $30.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.24
Potential profit: $77.24
User PnL: -$11.94

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.71
Potential profit: $74.71
User PnL: -$15.12

No position

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $26.01
Potential payout: $26.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.17
Potential profit: $17.17
User PnL: -$13.34

No position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.81
Potential payout: $13.81
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

X relaunches Vine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$4.36

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27
Potential profit: $4.27
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $4.16
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$1.64

No position

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.87
Potential profit: $3.87
User PnL: -$2.72

Yes position

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $3.09
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88
Potential profit: $2.88
User PnL: -$2.51

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.89
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.77
Potential profit: $1.77
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $1.7
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $1.67
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22m and $25m?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.42

No position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.89

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.46

Yes position

Megaquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.16

No position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Megaquake by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.83

No position

Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $29m and $34m?

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.77

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.62

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.35

Yes position

Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.41

No position

Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.33

No position

Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.23

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.53

No position

Will Vitality win the BLAST Bounty 2025 Season tournament?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

No position

Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.18

No position

Russia announces air truce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.76

No position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.57

No position

Will Texas enact a redistricting law by August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

No position

Will Elon tweet 240–254 times?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.94

No position

Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.42

Yes position

Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.85

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?

No 86.6% 520.6 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 88% 71.71 shares
Trump imposes tariff on pharmaceuticals by August 31?

Yes 4.5% 77.13 shares
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

No 21% 40.24 shares
2025 August third hottest on record?

No 4% 77.01 shares
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?

No 66.1% 35 shares
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?

No 94% 26 shares
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?

Yes 24% 36.15 shares
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?

Yes 64% 47.62 shares
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?

No 91% 52 shares
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 American League Championship?

No 82% 65 shares
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 American League Championship?

No 85% 50.89 shares