Yes position
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
Ismail01
0xfa6f61c43b88076aba60561b405dcd2ae58139b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.85
- Realized PnL
- $1.57
- Win rate
- 30.4%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $333.7
- Potential profit
- $333.36
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $288
- Potential profit
- $286.99
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $249.38
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.9
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.07
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $126.45
- Potential profit
- $126.2
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $124.81
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $106.65
- Potential profit
- $106.28
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Y
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $57.1
- Potential profit
- $56.44
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.14
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.22
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $29.2
- Potential profit
- $28.8
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.47
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.46
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETUp 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 41% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp 40% 12.5 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 15% 20 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes 30.8% 3.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown 99% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETDown 8% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETUp 5% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp 5% 20 shares