No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
dengyunlian
0xfa707c472fd7ddf8f5524b3ab52ea704fa61ec65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.99
- Realized PnL
- $11.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?No 94% 9.99 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?No 75% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 99.9% 5 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?No 82% 5 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes 99.2% 5 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 5 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?No 89% 15 shares