No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.58K
- Potential payout
- $5.05M
- Potential profit
- $5.04M
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.53K
Polymarket Trader
leonidas31
0xfa7f8f5a3b2c4640933921ec32b4f8ff74a2dc59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.64K
- Realized PnL
- $3.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $431.97
- Potential payout
- $29.79K
- Potential profit
- $29.36K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $69.5
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $121.37
- Potential payout
- $26.97K
- Potential profit
- $26.85K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$108.86
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.11K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- User PnL
- -$131.51
IR Iran position
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $3.06K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $109.93
- Potential payout
- $2.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.42K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $8.61
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$18.57
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.7%
- Current value
- $207.24
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- Multiplier
- 9.39x
- User PnL
- -$228.76
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $145.27
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$144.63
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$191.24
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$125.42
Y
Yes position
Algeria leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $916.21
- Potential profit
- $916.21
- User PnL
- -$128.27
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $763.88
- Potential profit
- $763.88
- User PnL
- -$77.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $747.48
- Potential profit
- $747.48
- User PnL
- -$122.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $721.64
- Potential profit
- $721.64
- User PnL
- -$502.35
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $704.42
- Potential profit
- $704.42
- User PnL
- -$59.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $646.67
- Potential profit
- $646.67
- User PnL
- -$97
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $46.88
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $578.13
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $603.12
- Potential profit
- $603.12
- User PnL
- -$19.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.61
- Potential profit
- $590.61
- User PnL
- -$390.23
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.64
- Potential profit
- $577.64
- User PnL
- -$130
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $496.01
- Potential profit
- $496.01
- User PnL
- -$339.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.78
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $278.55
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.93
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.72
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $161.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.75
Paulo Costa position
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 50,000 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes 8% 625 shares
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5Under 22% 318.18 shares
- Cédric Bakambu: 1+ goalsYes 16.7% 179.71 shares
- Vitinha: 1+ goalsYes 16.2% 308.82 shares
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsYes 55% 269.09 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 31.9% 688.37 shares
- Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goalsYes 10% 493.5 shares
- Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goalsYes 32% 312.5 shares
- Spread: Austria (-1.5)Austria 45% 735.11 shares