Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $79.74
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Polymarket Trader
Xllion
0xfa82c85afc1b1d5effbdb72b8761060d8aa30543
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $251.28
- Realized PnL
- -$37.54
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $233.37
- Potential profit
- $233.02
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.65
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $36.85
- Potential payout
- $180.73
- Potential profit
- $143.88
- Multiplier
- 4.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.15
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $34.77
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $116.74
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $99.57
- Potential payout
- $136.4
- Potential profit
- $36.83
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Thunder position
Magic vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Clippers position
Cavaliers vs. Clippers
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 27.7% 180.73 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?No 73.3% 136.4 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 4.3% 233.37 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Argentina 21% 123.81 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.8% 151.52 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 1,578.95 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?No 98.2% 4.18 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?No 78.2% 1.66 shares
- Magic vs. ThunderThunder 71% 4.23 shares
- Cavaliers vs. ClippersClippers 47.1% 10.63 shares
- New Pope in 2025?Yes 71% 2.82 shares
- Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?Yes 96.9% 5.16 shares