Polymarket Trader

qianpen

0xfa968f01e4afd13081ef773f2f3810c88f9363c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.56
Realized PnL: $23.64
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $12.01
Potential payout: $480.48
Potential profit: $468.47
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $136.36
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump Leave China on May 16?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.79
Potential profit: $77.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $61.99
Potential profit: $60.44
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$9.45

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.82
Potential profit: $53.82
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.72
Potential profit: $35.72
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.46
Potential profit: $9.46
User PnL: -$2.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89
Potential profit: $8.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $1.92
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $2.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8AM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$3.69

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 10.7% 280.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 26?

Yes 17.7% 61.99 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 25.2% 123.17 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 23.7% 82.19 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 7.3% 82.19 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 457.66 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 76.92 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 12.1% 413.22 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 44.44 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares