Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $358
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$31
Polymarket Trader
airdropsoon
0xfa987202c408b769852eed69df92559a8b1baf7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $249.2
- Realized PnL
- $1.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $97.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $71.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $37.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.1
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.82
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.97
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.87
Yes position
Solana above $190 on January 17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Ripple above $2.40 on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.09
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.14
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.23
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.8
No position
$COIN added to S&P 500 in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.66
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No 79% 30 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 24.1% 200 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?Up 43% 142.6 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?Up 43.1% 900.2 shares
- Pacers vs. NetsPacers 60% 59 shares
- Celtics vs. KnicksCeltics 39% 871.81 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?Down 31% 15 shares
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 164.5Over 52% 1,000 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?Down 50% 52.35 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?Down 50.9% 37.91 shares
- North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes 61.3% 100 shares
- Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?No 9% 50 shares